NFL Week 9 Betting Splits Human, AI

Dan Z. and ChatGPT released their NFL Week 9 betting cards on Thursday.

Both pickers selected five games from a board where no bet was priced worse than minus 120. Odds were captured at 3 p.m. ET. Stakes are adjusted so every winning bet produces one unit of profit.

The Week 8 slate produced losses for both parties. Dan Z. went 0-5 for a total loss of 5.81 units. ChatGPT went 1-4 for a net loss of 3.21 units. The only winner for the AI was the Los Angeles Rams and Los Angeles Chargers under 45.5.

Dan Z. currently leads the season record at 19-20-1 with a loss of 2.61 units. His spread and moneyline record is 12-14-1, while his totals record is 7-6. ChatGPT trails at 16-23-1 with a loss of 8.57 units. The AI has a 9-15 record on spreads and moneylines and a 7-8-1 record on totals.

Dan Z. is fading public sentiment in his Week 9 picks. He is backing the Carolina Panthers plus 3 against the Denver Broncos. He noted that the Broncos are overrated following a lucky win over the Kansas City Chiefs. He also selected the Seattle Seahawks minus 8.5 against the Arizona Cardinals, citing the Cardinals' reliance on Gardner Minshew. The Las Vegas Raiders plus 9.5, Tampa Bay Buccaneers plus 6, and Minnesota Vikings plus 3.5 complete his card.

ChatGPT offered different selections for the same slate. The AI backed the Green Bay Packers plus 3 against the New England Patriots. It projected a final score of 24-23 in favor of New England. It also chose the Los Angeles Rams minus 4.5 against the Washington Commanders. GPT projected a 27-20 win for Los Angeles.

The AI selected the Houston Texans and Los Angeles Chargers under 40.5. It also picked the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Chicago Bears under 47.5. Finally, ChatGPT chose the Denver Broncos minus 2.5 against the Carolina Panthers. This is the same game where Dan Z. chose the opposite side.

The two pickers agree on the direction of the Tampa Bay and Chicago game, though they chose different wagers. Dan Z. took the Buccaneers plus 6 as a fade on the Bears' recent hype. ChatGPT selected the under 47.5 for that matchup. Both analysts noted that Chicago comes off a Monday night game where Sam Darnold cracked a rib.

Dan Z. identified his Tampa Bay pick as his Plug Your Nose and Hit Place Bet of the Week. He has been 4-3 with a profit of 0.83 units on those specific picks this season. He stated he was forcing the last three losses and plans to stop that practice.

The games are scheduled for Sunday and Monday. The Panthers and Broncos play at 1 p.m. ET. The Seahawks and Cardinals play at 4:25 p.m. ET. The Raiders and 49ers, Packers and Patriots, and Texans and Chargers all play at 4:25 p.m. ET or 4:05 p.m. ET. The Buccaneers and Bears play at 8:20 p.m. ET. The Vikings and Bills play Monday at 8:15 p.m. ET.